The cost of implementing the National Care Service could top £627m by 2026-7, according to a new briefing on the cost implications of the Bill.
According to the review by the Fraser of Allander Institute, the cost centres will include structural reform of between £200 and £600m and carer reform of between £16m and £27m by 2026-27. On top of this will be the costs of producing a health and social care record. At this stage these costs are largely unknown.
The report, which was commissioned by the Coalition of Care and Support Providers in Scotland (CCPS), forecasts: “Significant upfront costs associated with the NCS vision beyond the amount currently earmarked. How this money is found, or raised, are additional questions that the Scottish Government will soon need to grapple with.”
Carer reform costs on their own are projected to increase to over £130m over the next decade.
The report warns that there is also very little understanding on unmet need in Scotland. The report notes: “If we cannot quantify how many people will draw on new support it will not be possible to cost and plan.”
The report also notes that financial resources will be key to the success of social care reform.